Risk Analysis: v. 6 Simulation and Hazard Mitigation(No. 39 WIT Transactions on Information and Communication Technologies)

Advances in computational methods and the ability to model systems more precisely now enable hazards to be quantified, their effects to be simulated and risk analysis to be pursued with greater accuracy, providing for more effective risk management. These developments are not only important for all areas of human endeavour but have particular relevance to environmental issues where the risks involved are substantial. Effective risk management and the mitigation of possible hazards have become a high priority of government and a public concern. This volume of the Transactions of Wessex Institute contains papers presented at RISK 2008, the 6th International Conference on Computer Simulation Risk Analysis and Hazard Mitigation, covering a series of important topics which are of current research interest and have practical applications. This volume contains contributions in many aspects of risk analysis and hazard mitigation, ranging from specific amounts of risk mitigation associated with both natural and anthropogenic hazards.The proceedings has been arranged into the following sections: Estimation of Risk; Risk Management; Vulnerability; Geomorphic Risk; Network Systems; Climate Change Risks; Hazard Prevention, Management and Control; Security in Public Places - the SERKET Project; Transportation Safety; Safe Ship Operations.

Table of Contents:
Section 1: Estimation of risk Hazards that threaten Greek wetlands: the case of Lake Koronia; Application of a flood risk model to the Thames Estuary for economic benefit assessment; A GIS tool for flood risk analysis in Flanders (Belgium); Occurrence neighbourhoods and risk assessment from landslide hazard in northern Spain; The effect of the silting phenomenon on the characteristic volumes and the lake basins in the Somesul Cald reservoirs cascade system; Propagation of environmental risk from contaminant transport through groundwater and stream networks; A quantitative microbial risk assessment of helminth ova in reusing sludge for agricultural production in developing countries; Assessment of the anthropogenic and natural risks in environmental and toxicological studies; The local confidence uncertainty plume of SAKWebA(c); Seismic risk assessment of the rural road network; Risk analysis and safety in LPG storage: the Indexed Method; Assessment of fatality risk in collisions with cable median barriers in the state of Washington; An integrated LCA/LCC framework for assessing product sustainability risk; The prediction and mapping of coastal flood risk associated with storm surge events and long-term sea level changes; European digital content sharing services for health protection and occupational risk prevention Section 2: Risk management Remote sensing satellite imagery and risk management: image based information extraction; Recent development of tsunami disaster reduction management in Japan after the 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami; Towards a shared method to classify contaminated territories in the case of an accidental nuclear event: the PRIME project; Development of a radioecological risk assessment tool for the Toulon marine area; Vulnerability index for risk evaluation: an approach for safety on dams in downstream valleys; Risk management in the aeronautical industry: results of an application of two methods; Risk typology; Ranking risky alternatives: innovations in subjective utility analysis; Analysis of the Y2K problem from the viewpoint of risk communication; Development and applications of a multiple risk communicator; Using statistical analysis to mitigate risk in environmental programs; The implementation of a new ISO 22000 in the Cyprus olive oil industry Section 3: Vulnerability Vulnerability, sensibility or coastal indicators? A preliminary analysis for a methodology of risk analysis; Vulnerability to torrent processes; Analysis of energy supply disturbances in Lithuania; Trade openness and policy tools: a vulnerability approach for the Italian regions Section 4: Geomorphologic risk Slope stability modelling of a sandstone cliff south of Livorno (Tuscany, Italy); Influence of spatial variability on 3D slope failures; An efficient global methodology for hazard analysis of dam complexes and cascades Section 5: Network systems Modelling of the node immunity change process in a network system; A high-speed algorithm for repairable stochastic flow networks with converging flows from multiple sources Section 6: Climate change risks Climate change and disaster management: reducing risk, saving lives; Vulnerability assessment survey of oil and gas facilities to climate-driven sea level rises and storm surges on the west coast of Trinidad Section 7: Hazard prevention, management and control Benefits of local structural protection to mitigate torrent-related hazards; Numerical simulation of leaking hydrogen dispersion behavior in a partially open space; Spreading of dangerous substances indoors; Development of the framework for disaster mitigating information sharing platform and its application to a local government Section 8: Security in public places - The SERKET Project Unified management of heterogeneous sensors for complex event processing; Normalized auditory attention levels for automatic audio surveillance; Innovation measures through the European project SERKET; Fear-type emotion recognition and abnormal events detection for an audio-based surveillance system Section 9: Transportation safety Aircraft accident in Brazil: Boeing vs. Legacy?; Risk apportionment for railway systems using constraint programming; Safety assessment methodology of railway signalling systems in Korea; Design of automatic testing tool for railway signalling systems software safety assessment Section 10: Safe ship operations Optimal and game ship control algorithms for avoiding collisions at sea; Improvement of ship operational safety as a result of the application of virtual reality engine room simulators; Diagnosing ship propulsion by vibration measurement for navigation safety