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Home > Society and Social Sciences > Warfare and defence > Weapons and equipment > Nuclear weapons > Bipolarity and the Future of the Security Order in East Asia: (Trends in Southeast Asia)
Bipolarity and the Future of the Security Order in East Asia: (Trends in Southeast Asia)

Bipolarity and the Future of the Security Order in East Asia: (Trends in Southeast Asia)


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About the Book

ASEAN is in danger of becoming marginalized as East Asian security becomes increasingly shaped by such volatile flashpoints as a nuclear North Korea and a South China Sea increasingly dominated by quarrels over sovereignty and maritime security. Accordingly, the notion of “ASEAN centrality” is now being seriously challenged and is unlikely to prevail against the growing bipolar security environment shaped by China and the United States.

ASEAN and other Asia-Pacific states could gravitate toward one of five alternative order-building scenarios: (i) A Sino-American condominium that defines and accepts each other’s geopolitical sphere of influence

  • (ii) The replacement or substantial revision of the United States’ bilateral alliance system with the expansion of multilateral norms and instrumentalities
  • (iii) The gradual predominance of an “Asia for Asians” concept led by China but endorsed by a substantial number of Southeast Asian states
  • (iv) Effective balancing and hedging by smaller states and “middle powers”, leading to eventual great power acceptance of a regional power equilibrium
  • and (v) An intensification of regional “community building” via an amorphous but wide-ranging series of economic, ideological and strategic compromises to make war unthinkable and to strengthen regional interdependence.

    However, none of these five scenarios is likely to predominate in a literal sense. Instead, the “realist” explanation for understanding security in the region is the most accurate forecast for understanding an East Asian security environment that is becoming increasingly disorderly. ASEAN can still play a constructive — if not central — role in shaping East Asia’s strategic environment by working with China and the United States to strengthen confidence building in regional security politics and to encourage their respect for strategic constraint.


  • About the Author :
    William Tow is Visiting Senior Fellow at ISEAS – Yusof Ishak Institute, Singapore and Professor in the Department of International Relations at the Australian National University.


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    Product Details
    • ISBN-13: 9789814762533
    • Publisher: Iseas
    • Publisher Imprint: ISEAS
    • Height: 210 mm
    • No of Pages: 42
    • Width: 148 mm
    • ISBN-10: 9814762539
    • Publisher Date: 30 Sep 2016
    • Binding: Paperback
    • Language: English
    • Series Title: Trends in Southeast Asia


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