Research Methodology (the Design, Process and Application)

Some of the recent projections of manpower requirements have relied on the assumption that the structure of employment by occupations will remain fixed over the entire period of projections. Using Indian data, the author of this book has shown that this is an implausible assumption, and the projections based on such assumptions are likely to be erroneous, The author, therefore, suggests to develop a methodology of manpower forecasting which accounts for the inter-temporal variations in the structure of employment It is further argued that such a methodology would also be helpful for planning expansion of education in the country, Two structural methods--namely, the Markov probability formulation and the RAS adjustment technique--and a single equation regression model (which posits that demand for skills are determined by production technology) of occupational forecasting are chosen in this study to assessing the predictive power of each of these techniques, Much of this book is devoted to highlight the theoretical details and the data requirements of these techniques reference, This is followed by an application of these techniques with Indian data--both at macro and micro levels, The results of this study favour the use of RAS method as a limited information model of occupational forecasting in economies which lack detailed manpower statistics. While the study in question is based on Indian data, it is surmised that the findings of this book would be of considerable importance for other developing countries as well. Moreover, it is hoped that the methodology and techniques illustrated will stimulate further research into factors affecting evolution of occupational coefficients in the context manpower planning in developing er mies.

About the Author :
Prof. (Dr.) S.K. Acharya, former Head, Dept. of Agril Extension and Director, Bidhan Chandra Krishi Viswavidyalaya, Mohanpur, born on 6th October, 1960, started his career as Assistant Professor at BCKV in 1988 and has been in teaching, research and extension over 30 years. Research Publication: 180 in National and International Journals. Book Publication: 83 books authored / co-authored. Membership of Distinction: Chancellor Nominee on selection committee; Member of Agriculture Commission; Marketing and Extension Sub Committee, Govt. of West Bengal; Expert member WWF projects in BTR (Buxa Tiger Reserve Project); Expert member; DFID project on Primary Education (DPEP); REIA, Visited Italy, France, Germany, China, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh. Delivered 13 Key note addresses in International Congress, Chaired 17 Sessions in International conferences, Editor of a score of national and international journals. He has so far been awarded with 9 best paper awards in National and International Conferences and Organizing Secretary of two International Conferences. E-mail: acharya09sankar@gmail.com Dr. P. PAL, born in 1981, is presently working as Assistant Professor in Statistics at College of Fisheries, Central Agricultural University, Imphal. He has been in teaching, research and extension for the last eight years in the Department of Extension and Social Sciences, College of Fisheries. CAU (I). He obtained his M.Sc degree in Agricultural Statistics from Indian Agricultural Research Institute (IASRI), New Delhi, in 2006 and Ph.D degree in Agricultural Statistics from Bidhan Chandra Krishi Viswa Vidyalay (BCKVV) in 2011. He is associated with many professional organizations. He authored 44 research publications in reputed National and International Journals, 1 Book and good number of popular articles/chapters/bulletin as on date. Besides this, he is associated with many administrative responsibilities. E-mail: prasenjit3agstat@gmail.com, Web: www.cofcau.nic.in Dr. Amitava Biswas, born in 1964, Professor, Department of Agricultural Extension, BCKV, is an eminent personality in the domain of Extension Science. He has been in teaching, research and extension for the last twenty years in the Department of Agricultural Extension, Bidhan Chandra Krishi Viswavidyalaya (B.C. Agricultural University), Mohanpur, Nadia, West Bengal. He has built up an incredible acumen in Participatory Extension Methods, Indigenous Technical Knowledge, Rural Entrepreneurship and Developmental studies. So far he has authored 31 research papers in national and International Journals, 13 books and a good number of popular articles. He is a good trainer in multidiscipline area and regular speaker in TV and Radio. He rendered administrative services as Deputy Director of Extension Education and Editorial Works as Editor of University farm Journal 'Krishi Bidhan'. For the last couple of years he has been with popular Science movement. He has also been involved in some ACRP, NAIP, RK.VY and ICARBA Projects. E-mail: amiiavabckv2013@gmail.com