The Black Swan
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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable


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About the Book

A slipcased hardback edition of Nassim Nicholas Taleb's bestselling masterpiece, with the original first Penguin edition artwork. What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.

About the Author :
Nassim Nicholas Taleb is an uncompromizing no-nonsense thinker for our times. He has spent his life immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge, and he has led three high-profile careers around his ideas, as a man of letters, as a businessman-trader, and as a university professor and researcher. He is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University's School of Engineering. He is the author of the 4-volume INCERTO (Antifragile, The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, and The Bed of Procrustes). Taleb refuses all awards and honours as they debase knowledge by turning it into competitive sports.

Review :
Great fun … brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling An idiosyncratically brilliant new book A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected Like the conversation of a raconteur ... hugely enjoyable - compelling Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot In the tradition of The Wisdom of Crowds and The Tipping Point Great fun … brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling An idiosyncratically brilliant new book A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected Like the conversation of a raconteur ... hugely enjoyable - compelling Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot In the tradition of The Wisdom of Crowds and The Tipping Point


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Product Details
  • ISBN-13: 9781846145650
  • Publisher: Penguin Books Ltd
  • Publisher Imprint: Allen Lane
  • Height: 240 mm
  • No of Pages: 480
  • Spine Width: 41 mm
  • Weight: 753 gr
  • ISBN-10: 1846145651
  • Publisher Date: 01 Dec 2011
  • Binding: Hardback
  • Language: English
  • Returnable: N
  • Sub Title: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
  • Width: 162 mm


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