Turkey Facing Its Future: Analysis and Perspectives of Constitutional Referendum

...this Dossier can be a good tool for those who would like to have ideas and prospects about this delicate political phase of Turkish history. At least until next presidential elections in 2019. "It is a widespread opinion that even if Erdogan should have success in imposing the presidential model he desires, it is not clear he will be able to maintain over the medium term. In this moment, the Turkish government is in great difficulty in the region with all its neighbours [...]. The Kurds are gaining territory in Syria and relations with the European Union and the United States are not among the best. [...] Inside his party, Erdogan still has a certain following, but if he should continue to concentrate power in his own hands, the possibility of dissent with other members is not to be excluded. [...] The analyses are agreed by now on the fact that a lot of dissent exists. Nevertheless, determining if the phenomenon can be relegated to a simple tendency to protest, [...] or the beginning of a real decline in power, is not yet possible to establish." Maurizio Scaini University of Trieste

About the Author :
Marcello Ciola: Vice Director of Mediterranean Affairs MA in International Relations at LUISS Guido Carli University, he attended the ASERI - Postgraduate School in Economics and International Relations of Catholic University of Milan. Teaching Assistant, chair of Contemporary History and History of Italian Political Parties at LUISS Guido Carli. Researcher at Institute of Political Study "St. Pio V," Rome. Tutor at University Niccol� Cusano of Rome. He is Associate Analyst of think tank Il Nodo di Gordio. He collaborated with Turkish Embassy in Italy. Federico De Renzi: Advisory Board of Mediterranean Affairs Turkologist, Ph.D. Candidate in Islamic Studies at Sapienza University of Rome. Alexandra Gerasimcikova: MA in Middle East, Caucasus and Central Asian Security Studies at the University of St Andrews Researcher in the Middle East and post-Soviet space affairs. She graduated in International Relations and European Studies from Metropolitan University Prague, and she has obtained a Master's Degree in Middle East, Caucasus and Central Asian Security Studies at the University of St Andrews. Maurizio Scaini: Professor of Economic Geography and the Geo-economics of Sustainable Development, University of Trieste His fields of research range principally from South East Asia to the Middle East. He has had the opportunity to travel in Turkey to conduct research in the context of a PRIN, regarding the issues of urban security in the Mediterranean. Valentina Rita Scott: Ph.D., is Post-doctoral Researcher in Comparative Public Law at the Law Faculty of Koc University, Istanbul She has hold classes as Adjunct Professor in Comparative Constitutional Law and in Institutions of Muslim Countries at the LUISS Department of Political Science, Rome. Francesco Ventura: Ph.D. candidate, University College of Dublin, School of Geography His research concerns the relation between space and power in the context of transboundary water courses, and he focuses on Turkish hydropolitical power in the Euphrates-Tigris basin. Claudia Zappulla: MA in Global Politics and Euro-Mediterranean Relations, University of Catania. MA final dissertation in EU Anti-trafficking in Human Beings Approach in the Light of The Current Migration and Refugee Crisis.