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Non-Ergodic Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis and Spatial Simulation of Variation in Ground Motion.

Non-Ergodic Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis and Spatial Simulation of Variation in Ground Motion.


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About the Book

Two problems in the spatial statistics of ground motions are addressed. For the first problem, a method is developed for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) without the ergodic assumption accounting for the impacts on both the median and aleatory standard deviation of the ground-motion model. Impacts of the removal of the ergodic assumption on both the intra-event and inter-event residuals are addressed. A strong motion data set from Taiwan with multiple recordings at each site and multiple earthquakes within small regions are used to quantify the separation of the aleatory variability from the systematic source, path, and site effects. Systematic site effects are accommodated by scale factors at each site. Systematic source and path effects are more complicated because they are spatially correlated. Models of the spatial covariance functions of the systematic source and path effects of the Taiwan data set are developed to capture the spatial correlation of the systematic effects and are then used to generate stochastic spatial simulations of the spatial correlations of the path and source effects for applications to other regions. Example hazard calculations show that there can be up to a factor of four increase in epistemic uncertainty of the hazard when the ergodic assumption is removed if there is no site-specific data. The method developed here to remove the ergodic assumption provides a framework that shows the benefits of installing instrumentation to record site-specific data and using analytical models of the path-specific wave propagation and site-specific site response effects to estimate source-, path-, and site-specific ground motions models to reduce the epistemic uncertainty in the systematic effects. For the second problem, synthetic seismograms computed from simulated earthquakes using Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory 2D/3D elastic finite-difference wave propagation code, E3D, (Larsen and Shulz, 1994) were used to evaluate if the observed spatial variation of the very high frequency (> 10 Hz) ground motion over short distances (


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Product Details
  • ISBN-13: 9781243769299
  • Publisher: Proquest, Umi Dissertation Publishing
  • Publisher Imprint: Proquest, Umi Dissertation Publishing
  • Height: 246 mm
  • Weight: 476 gr
  • ISBN-10: 1243769297
  • Publisher Date: 01 Sep 2011
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Spine Width: 14 mm
  • Width: 189 mm


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Non-Ergodic Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis and Spatial Simulation of Variation in Ground Motion.
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Non-Ergodic Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis and Spatial Simulation of Variation in Ground Motion.
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