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Die Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung; Versuch Einer Kritik

Die Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung; Versuch Einer Kritik


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About the Book

Das historische Buch konnen zahlreiche Rechtschreibfehler, fehlende Texte, Bilder, oder einen Index. Kaufer konnen eine kostenlose gescannte Kopie des Originals (ohne Tippfehler) durch den Verlag. 1897. Nicht dargestellt. Auszug: ... Das Gesetz der grofsen Zahlen. Es mag gewifs auf den ersten Blick befremden, den Begriff der mathematischen Wahrscheinlichkeit in seiner Pragung fur die Rechnung auf einer Ubereinkunft, sie mag noch so einleuchtend sein, ruhen zu sehen. Alle Beziehungen zum Spiel, die Einrichtung von Lotterien erwecken die Vorstellung, dafs man es mit etwas Denknotwendigem zu thun habe. Eine Lotterie mit 1000 Losen, die 50 Gewinne, eine andere, die 100 bei gleicher Loszahl hat, sollten diese nicht ohne weiteres ergeben, dafs, wie die Chancen des Gewinns im Verhaltnis von 1:2 stehen, auch die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Gewinns sich verdoppeln musse? Kein Zweifel, dals die Chancenverhaltnisse des Spiels die Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung ins Leben gerufen haben; sie haben den Begriff eines Geschehens, bei dem an sich nicht unterscheidbare Einzelfalle, gekennzeichnet durch ein Merkmal, das keinerlei Einflufs auf die Vorgange auszuuben vermag, eine leicht verdiente Rolle spielen, den De Mere, Pascal und Fermat Zu einer mathematischen Abstraktion in die Hande gespielt. Aber das doppelt und dreifach Wahrscheinliche ist keine Wertung, die wie der Begriff des Wahrscheinlichen in unserem Denken vorgefunden wird. Notwendig ist nur, dafs unser Urteil eine grofsere Wahrscheinlichkeit aussagt, wenn die gleichwertigen Grunde sich mehren. Wenn es z. B. bei Moser (Die Gesetze der Lebensdauer S. 5) heilst: Das Mafs der Wahrscheinlichkeit tragen wir in uns. die Wissenschaft mufs dasselbe folglich als vorhanden annehmen," so ist das nur insofern richtig, als wir, gestutzt auf den Begriff der Grofse, eine geringere und eine grofsere Wahrscheinlichkeit innerhalb der Erfahrung -- deren sonstige Be...


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Product Details
  • ISBN-13: 9781235209253
  • Publisher: General Books
  • Publisher Imprint: General Books
  • Height: 246 mm
  • No of Pages: 112
  • Spine Width: 6 mm
  • Width: 189 mm
  • ISBN-10: 1235209253
  • Publisher Date: 13 Jan 2012
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Language: English
  • Returnable: N
  • Weight: 213 gr


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