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An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty

An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty


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About the Book

Peter Arnott discusses Greek drama not as an antiquarian study but as a living art form. He removes the plays from the library and places them firmly in the theatre that gave them being. Invoking the practical realities of stagecraft, he illuminates the literary patterns of the plays, the performance disciplines, and the audience responses. Each component of the productions - audience, chorus, actors, costume, speech - is examined in the context of its own society and of theatre practice in general, with examples from other cultures. Professor Arnott places great emphasis on the practical staging of Greek plays, and how the buildings themselves imposed particular constraints on actors and writers alike. Above all, he sets out to make practical sense of the construction of Greek plays, and their organic relationship to their original setting.

Table of Contents:
Part 1 I A GENERAL FRAMEWORK; Chapter 1 1 Certainty and Uncertainty; Chapter 2 2 Defining the Uncertain Situation; Chapter 3 3 Listing and Grouping Possible Answers; Chapter 4 4 Defining Degrees of Belief; Part 2 II SOME TOOLS; Chapter 5 5 Estimation; Chapter 6 6 Sampling —Part I; Chapter 7 7 Sampling —Part II; Part 3 III PROBABILITY ASSESSMENT; Chapter 8 8 From Group Percentages to Individual Chances — Part I; Chapter 9 9 From Group Percentages to Individual Chances —Part II; Chapter 10 10 Estimating Chances in Exceptional Problems; Chapter 11 11 Two Demonstrations; Bibliography and Background Reading; Subject Index;

About the Author :
Edited by Sarah Lichtenstein. Authors- Beyth-Marom, Ruth; Dekel, Shlomith; Gombo, Ruth; Shaked, Moshe

Review :
"...the academic psychology of decision-making under conditions of uncertainty is made tangibly clear and useful for everyday living...this book ought to be required reading for every high school and undergraduate student and adult in America." —Science Books & Films


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Product Details
  • ISBN-13: 9781134924004
  • Publisher: Taylor & Francis Ltd
  • Publisher Imprint: Routledge
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 1134924003
  • Publisher Date: 13 May 2013
  • Binding: Digital (delivered electronically)


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