National Intelligence Systems: Current Research and Future Prospects

A series of investigations, especially in Great Britain and the United States, have focused attention on the performance of national intelligence services. At the same time, terrorism and a broad span of trans-national security challenges has highlighted the crucial role of intelligence. This book takes stock of the underlying intellectual sub-structure of intelligence. For intelligence, as for other areas of policy, serious intellectual inquiry is the basis for improving the performance of real-world institutions. The volume explores intelligence from an intellectual perspective, not an organizational one. Instead the book identifies themes that run through these applications, such as the lack of comprehensive theories, the unclear relations between providers and users of intelligence, and the predominance of bureaucratic organizations driven by collection. A key element is the development, or rather non-development, of intelligence toward an established set of methods and standards and, above all, an ongoing scientific discourse.

Table of Contents:
1. Introduction Gregory F. Treverton and Wilhelm Agrell; Part I. Defining the Field, Its Theory, Historiography and Changes after the Cold War: 2. Building a theory of intelligence systems Michael Warner; 3. Reflections on intelligence historiography since 1939 Christopher Andrew; 4. A theory of intelligence and international politics Jennifer Sims; 5. Intelligence analysis after the Cold War - new paradigm or old anomalies? Wilhelm Agrell; Part II. Research on New Challenges, Methods and Threats: 6. On counterterrorism and intelligence Neal Pollard; 7. Technical collection in the post-9/11 world Jeffrey T. Richelson; Part III. Intelligence, Politics and Oversight: 8. The intelligence-policymaker relationship, and the politicization of intelligence Olav Riste; 9. Oversight of intelligence: a comparative approach Wolfgang Krieger; 10. The limits of avowal: secret intelligence in an age of public scrutiny Sir David Omand; 11. The science of intelligence: reflections on a field that never was Wilhelm Agrell and Gregory F. Treverton.

About the Author :
Gregory Treverton is Director of the RAND Corporation's Center for Global Risk and Security. Earlier, he directed RAND's Intelligence Policy Center and its International Security and Defense Policy Center, and he was associate dean of the Pardee RAND Graduate School. His recent work has examined terrorism, intelligence, and law enforcement, with a special interest in new forms of public-private partnership. He has served in government for the first Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, handling Europe for the National Security Council and, most recently as vice chair of the National Intelligence Council, overseeing the writing of America's National Intelligence Estimates (NIEs). He holds an A.B. summa cum laude from Princeton University and a master's in public policy and Ph.D. in economics and politics from Harvard. His latest books are Intelligence for an Age of Terror (Cambridge University Press, 2009); Reshaping National Intelligence for an Age of Information (Cambridge University Press, 2001); and New Challenges, New Tools for Defense Decisionmaking. Wilhelm Agrell is Professor in Intelligence Analysis at Lund University, Sweden, and visiting professor at the Swedish National Defence College, Stockholm, with a background in Swedish intelligence and military service in the Middle East. As an academic scholar, with a a Ph.D. in history from Lund in 1985, he has written more than 20 books, mainly dealing with Cold War history and Swedish security, including an account of the aborted Swedish nuclear and chemical weapons programs in the 1950s and 1960s. He has been active in establishing intelligence analysis as an academic field and became the first professor in the subject in Scandinavia in 2006. He has also written nine novels, some of them translated into other Scandinavian languages, Finnish, and German.

Review :
'This valuable book, written from five distinct national perspectives, is a landmark contribution. Its original and experienced thinking is essential reading for people concerned about re-inventing democratic intelligence for today's assymetrical challenges.' Anthony Campbell, Former Head of Intelligence Analysis in the Canadian Privy Council (Cabinet) Office 'What are intelligence's special characteristics? What are the intellectual foundations for what it does? Here is a heavyweight attempt to develop answers to these key questions, for all concerned with intelligence everywhere.' Michael Herman, Founder Director, Oxford Intelligence Group 'An outstanding collection that brings together many of the most talented scholars working on intelligence and security issues today in a wide-ranging survey of the state of the field. The wide range of approaches and the variety of topics covered ensure that this volume will be indispensable for both teaching and research for years to come.' Peter Jackson, Aberystwyth University, UK