Contemporary Issues in Decision Making

Presented in this book are chapters covering the most recent advances in the study of decision making. There are contributions from psychology, management, systems analysis, and computer science. The book is divided into sections on individual decision processes, social factors in decision making, risk management, and decision structuring. Many contributions have been made by Soviet scientists. The papers originate from the 12th Research Conference on Subjective Probability, Utility, and Decision Making (SPUDM) held at Moscow State University in 1989.

Table of Contents:
Part A: Decision structuring and knowledge based systems. Reflections on artificial intelligence (V.P. Zinchenko and A.I. Nazarov). Some propositions for the classification of decision situations (O. Svenson). Management decision inference: Structure identification supporting intellectual creativity (V.A. Chelnocov). Exact duplicates of human judgments (O.I. Larichev, A.I. Mechitov, V.K. Morgoev, H.M. Moshkovich and E.M. Furems). Symbolic reasoning for decision making (D.A. Clark, J. Fox, A.J. Glowinski and M.J. O'Neil). Knowledge organization studies through analysis of cognitive pattens (A.Yu. Terekhina). Part B: Descriptive models of individual decision making. Preference and Belief: Ambiguity and competence in choice under uncertainty (C. Heath and A. Tversky). Comparative choice and the advantage model (E.B. Shafir, D.N. Osherson and E.E. Smith). Preference judgments and choice: Is the prominence effect due to information integration or information evaluation? (H. Montgomery, T. Garling, E. Lindberg and M. Selart). Response modes and decision strategies (M.R.M. Westenberg and P. Koele). Decision making in free classification tasks: A psychological view (R.M. Frumkina). Influence diagrams and fault trees: The role of salience and anchoring (E.C.M. van Schie and J. van der Pligt). Attribute weighting and use of non-compensatory models as a function of perceived attribute flexibility (J. Sokolowska). Mis/Understanding diagnosticity: Direction and magnitude of change (R. Beyth-Marom). An analysis of multi-attribute utility models using longitudinal field data (K. Borcherding and B. Rohrmann). Part C: Risk perception and risk communication. Risk evaluation and the causes of accidents (W.A. Wagenaar). Studies of risk and safety perception in the USSR (A.I Mechitov and S.B. Rebrik). The effects of involvement, relevance and ability on risk communication effectiveness (T.C. Earle, G.T. Cvetkovich and P. Slovic). A persuasion approach to risk communication: Theory and empirical evidence (B. Verplanken). An integrative operational framework for strategic risk analysis (S.S.M. Ho). Part D: Group and social decision making. Clinical decision making in a multidisciplinary team (E.E.J. de Bruyn). Supporting group decisions in bond trading (A.M. McCosh). Decision making under varying situational constraints (H.E. Purkitt and J.W. Dyson). The impact of others' choice on investment decisions (R. Gonzalez and A. Tversky). Accepting unfairness: Temporal influences on choice (T.L. Boles and D.M. Messick). Computer simulation of voting systems (H. Nurmi). Part E: Dynamic decision making and temporal processes. Constructing models of dynamic choice behavior (D.R. Holtgrave). Adaptive reference points in integrative bargaining (W.P. Bottom). A componential investigation of the effects of deadlines on individual decision making (A.J. Maule and P. Mackie). Decision making in dynamic environments: Exploring judgments in a system dynamics model-based game (G.